Am I doing ICM math correctly?

[jeramy576]

This question is for someone who has time to check my math. I want to make sure I'm doing all this correct before I get too deep and be completely wrong.

First the stats:

T300/600 A50
P1 $4470
P2 $9405
P3 $2195
P4 $6490
P5 $3440
$27000 total chips

Game:
$1.75 18 Man STT Top 4 Places Paid

The Hand:

PokerStars Game #15266198235: Tournament #77333143, $1.50+$0.25 Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (300/600) - 2008/02/13 - 17:48:19 (ET)
Table '77333143 1' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: P1 (5470 in chips)
Seat 3: P2 (9405 in chips)
Seat 7: P3 (2195 in chips)
Seat 8: P4 (6490 in chips)
Seat 9: P5 (3440 in chips)
P1: posts the ante 50
P2: posts the ante 50
P3: posts the ante 50
P4: posts the ante 50
P5: posts the ante 50
P3: posts small blind 300
P4: posts big blind 600
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to P1 [Ts Td]

The ICM equities at the start of the hand.

P1 0.2153
P2 0.2767
P3 0.1118
P4 0.2352
P5 0.1611

According to ICM if P1 folds and assuming its walked to P4. The equities become:

P1 0.2165 (+.0012)
P2 0.2775 (+.0008)
P3 0.0980 (-.0138)
P4 0.2455 (+.0103)
P5 0.1625 (+.0014)

If P1 shoves and picks up the pot:

P1 0.2382
P2 0.2772
P3 0.0976
P4 0.2248
P5 0.1621

If P2 busts P1:

P1 0.0000
P2 0.3452
P3 0.1696
P4 0.2661
P5 0.2190

If P1 DU off P2:

P1 0.3072
P2 0.1868
P3 0.1045
P4 0.2318
P5 0.1698

I'm rather sure all this is correct thus far unless I typoed. Next come the fun part of the show.

The math:

P1 vs P2's 20% calling range

(.2382*.80)+(.082*0)+(0.118*.3072) = A - B = C * Y = Z
0.1905 + 0 + 0.0362 = 0.2267 - 0.2165 = 0.0102 * $27 = $0.2754

P1 vs P2's 15% calling range

(.2382*.85)+(.066*0)+(0.084*.3072) = A - B = C * Y = Z
0.2024 + 0 + 0.0258 = 0.2282 - 0.2165 = 0.0117 * $27 = $0.3159

P1 vs P2's 10% calling range

(.2382*.90)+(.048*0)+(0.052*.3072) = A - B = C * Y = Z
0.2143 + 0 + 0.0159 = 0.2302 - 0.2165 = 0.0137 * $27 = $0.3699

P1 vs P2's 50% calling range

(.2382*.50)+(0.16*0)+(0.34*.3072) = A - B = C * Y = Z
0.1191 + 0 + 0.1044 = 0.2235 - 0.2165 = 0.007 * $27 = $0.189

Did I **** up anywhere on the math or the ICM calculations? Anything that I some how forgot to compute?

[Sidnoobis]

can't focus on math with your avatar....
Busy focusing on the mathematics of curves and fluid dynamics...
bouncy....

[andremcosta]

Man, I never ever stopped to think about all the math work the software was doing before spiting the results.

I think you can do it on a software and check. Want some help?

[cathar_here]

OMG, if that's what it takes to learn ICM, I'm soooo not gonna be able to learn ICM...for the record

[PartTimePoker]

use SNGwiz

[Matixboy]

ICM Calc

Thats good too ^^