A9 facing jam approaching FT bubble of 12/180

[cardsfan04]

14 left in $12/180. All four people he was shoving into had been pretty tight. Blinds go up to 800/1600 in less than a minute. What do you range him at, and do you call?


PokerStars Game #15583362641: Tournament #78875045, $11+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (600/1200) - 2008/02/27 - 02:29:28 (ET)
Table '78875045 8' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: ted8hua (25006 in chips)
Seat 2: disoriented (9670 in chips)
Seat 4: rubyrhod (59118 in chips)
Seat 5: freemortgage (18230 in chips)
Seat 7: jcormier89 (8625 in chips)
Seat 8: talnet (29937 in chips)
Seat 9: cardsfan04 (6632 in chips)
ted8hua: posts the ante 125
disoriented: posts the ante 125
rubyrhod: posts the ante 125
freemortgage: posts the ante 125
jcormier89: posts the ante 125
talnet: posts the ante 125
cardsfan04: posts the ante 125
ted8hua: posts small blind 600
disoriented: posts big blind 1200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to cardsfan04 [9c Ad]
rubyrhod: folds
freemortgage: folds
jcormier89: raises 7300 to 8500 and is all-in
talnet: folds
cardsfan04: ?????

[cardsfan04]

oops, wrong strat forum, please move to MTT

[NateTrib]

unless he's been a nit, it's a pretty easy call for me

[cardsfan04]

Originally Posted by NateTrib

unless he's been a nit, it's a pretty easy call for me

I thought so too. I called, he had AA (obv). Somebody criticized me for calling all my chips off w/ a medium ace.

I ranged him somewhere around A2+, KQ, KJs, 22+. Figured he could be a little tighter or looser, but unless his range was a LOT tighter, thought I had good odds.

Against that range:

Hand 0: 47.982% 42.50% 05.49% 169542662 21890067.00 { Ad9c }
Hand 1: 52.018% 46.53% 05.49% 185644036 21890067.00 { 22+, A2s+, KJs+, A2o+, KQo }

[Acid Hound]

snap call